Archive for October 28, 2010

Tuesday at the debate I was talking Big Red Wave with an aide to a republican candidate for statewide office, although he was feeling highly confident on his local race when I said to him that the wave would be even bigger.

I started mentioning the anecdotal evidence I’ve seen in district after district he was unimpressed.

When I brought up Christine O’Donnell and Chris Coon’s sudden Volte Face he immediately dismissed me as ignorant and my opinion unworthy.

Well if all he sees are polls like this that’s one thing, but then there is stuff like this:

Yesterday, a poll went around showing Christine O’Donnell just five points behind Commie Coons in Delaware’s Senate race. This SORT OF explains the weird amount of time the White House has been spending in a slam dunk blue state.

But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts. If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?

This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…just like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.

Today I talked to a friend from Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.

and this:

We have seen reliable polling that shows O’Donnell is within single digits, and Coons can’t break 50%. What is more, these polls rely on a turn-out model that is relatively conservative and, contrary to what pundits think, a much higher than normal turn-out could mean the polls are off by as much as 5-6 or more points. In the primary, most polls showed O’Donnell down by a few or tied, however she won by 6 points, a figure higher than most of the pre-vote polls and outside of their margin of error.

Why is this happening, and why might the pundits, once again, have egg on their face on election day?

Voters in Delaware are learning from reliable internet sources, despite a near blackout by the elite political press, more and more about Coons and his record.

One is right and one is wrong, but I can’t forget the Globe polls that showed Martha Coakley up 15 points:

Coakley’s lead grows to 17 points – 53 percent to 36 percent – when undecideds leaning toward a candidate are included in the tally. The results indicate that Brown has a steep hill to climb to pull off an upset in the Jan. 19 election. Indeed, the poll indicated that nearly two-thirds of Brown’s supporters believe Coakley will win.

and of course my favorite of all newspaper quotes:

The Mainstream media knows all

Somebody is right here and somebody is wrong here, by this time next week we will find out.

Update: Of course liberals always use these tactics when up 15 pts don’t they?

Advertisements

…and briefly commented on it.

They did not show the RedState video. My son was going on about the “foot stomp” until I showed him the video

and asked what the secret service would have done if it was Obama’s car as Red State says:

So please, condemn head-stomping. Condemn violence. But don’t let the media and the left create a fiction of violent mobs of right-wingers. They’ve been pitching that line since the health care town hall meetings last summer. It has yet to be true.

That well known radical Ann Althouse (who voted for a certain sitting president) says this:

3. The MoveOn.org woman came to the event to create an incident and caused the Ron Paul’s supporters to worry about his safety, so that violent incident was prompted by the urge to defend, in which case even that one incident isn’t a data point that fits the gapingly empty template.

4. “A person in a disguise, carrying a sign from a radical organization, tries to push through the crowd to hand a political opponent an unknown object. What would the Secret Service have done to her?”
Indeed!

And Legal Insurrection says this:

My instincts also tell me also that the criminal charges against the “stomper” will not stick because he will claim (as he has) that he viewed Valle as a threat to Paul, and that he was trying to keep her down until the police could arrive.

Doug Ross plays stop the film and Gateway reports that the press has been so good for the left they they’ve decided to go long on charging candidates.

Ed Driscoll’s post is “Shhh No one tell MSNBC” and apparently nobody has.

In fairness they haven’t made a big fuss that I saw, but giving the bit without the context reinforces a false narrative. I’ve defended Morning Joe in general and Joe Scarborough when fellow conservatives have hit, because I maintain that other than blind spots on Palin and Afghanistan he’s not bad. I expect him to come through and point out the context and at least mention the media double standard.

Bottom line, the full story is available online, MSNBC in general and Morning Joe in particular has as much excuse for ignoring it as the do for ignoring the Ken Gladney story.

There are two shows before election day. I’m hoping my faith is not misplaced.

That is the single biggest take away line from the Jon Stewart / President Obama appearance on comedy central:

“You ran on very high rhetoric, hope and change, and the Democrats this year seem to be running on, ‘Please baby, one more chance’,’’ Mr. Stewart said at one point. At another, he asked the president if he was now running on “Yes we can, with certain conditions.’’

Mr. Obama replied, “I think I would say, ‘Yes we can, but –“

Yes we can BUT!

With a slick sales pitch you can get people to go to a new restaurant, but if the food stinks, it doesn’t matter how you sell it they’re not coming back.

When even the NYT can’t spin this positive you know the game is up.

At What if (One of our featured blogs of the Month) Peg links to an Ed Koch column that sees what I do:

It is for these reasons, I believe, the coming November tsunami will roll across America and give the Republicans, who are undeserving of the honor, control of both Houses. The American public is enraged and wants to punish those who have been in charge of the country. They know those who will replace incumbents may be as bad or worse, but they also believe they can’t do any greater damage.

Koch is more sure of the Big Red Wave than Peg is but look at the emphasis in the excerpt.

When I’ve told people that the tea party doesn’t trust the republicans, I’ve been laughed at. People on the left totally believe the tea party is a wholly owned totally bought subsidiary of the GOP. At the 9/12 rally when I plunged into the crowd NOT A SINGLE PERSON IN IT WHEN ASKED SAID THEY TRUSTED THE GOP and all said that if the GOP kept spending they would be back to protest them.

I have faith in the Big Red Wave, it’s the Grand Old Party that worries me.