Libya and the four stage Strategy

Posted: March 14, 2011 in middle east, opinion/news
Tags: , , , ,

Now that the entire attention span of the world is on Japan, the Gaddafi family is taking full advantage to thrust forward.

The chaotic collapse of rebel positions in eastern Libya in the past week is sapping the morale out of the rag-tag rebel troops that had been rapidly driving west just days ago.

The optimism of a few weeks ago that Col. Muammar Qaddafi, who has ruled Libya through the torture and execution of political opponents since 1969, would be swept by a flexing of people power similar to the revolutions in Egypt and Tunisia is now a distant memory.

The Arab leagues proposed no-fly zone is apparently not going anywhere and now that the headlines are all thousands of miles away the British and the French moves on Libya are dissipating. Neither will bother to act if the world isn’t watching.

This is analogous to the four state strategy from Yes Minister clip that I posted before. It’s designed to make sure nothing is done. In case you missed it here is the The four stage strategy via Yes Minister:

Dick: “In stage 1 we say ‘Nothing is going to Happen'”

Sir Humphrey: “In stage 2 we say ‘Something may be going to happen but we should do nothing about it'”

Dick: “In stage 3 we say “maybe we should do something about it but there’s nothing we can do.'”

Sir Humphrey: “In stage 4 we say ‘Maybe there was something we could have done, but it’s too late now'”

A variation this is now being played out in Libya we are currently at stage 2.5 and climbing.

Here is the clip again if you’d like.

Update: We are in stage 3 and rising

Update 2: Linked at Questions and Observations and the Green Room.

Comments
  1. […] Prime Minister”.  If this isn’t what we’re seeing, I don’t know what typifies it better (via Da Tech Guy).  Pay particular attention (around the 8 minute mark) to the “4 stage strategy”.  It is what […]